Intel Q4 2025 earnings are approaching, and investors are closely watching whether the semiconductor giant can sustain its recent momentum. Santa Clara–based Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) remains one of the most important names in global chipmaking, with a broad portfolio spanning CPUs, data center products, networking solutions, graphics, and foundry services. As competition intensifies and AI-driven demand reshapes the industry, this earnings report could offer important clues about Intel’s turnaround progress.
What Analysts Expect From Intel Q4 2025 Earnings
Heading into Intel Q4 2025 earnings, Wall Street expects the company to report a loss of $0.02 per share on a diluted basis, unchanged from the same quarter last year. While a loss is never ideal, consistency matters here, especially given Intel’s multi-year investment cycle in manufacturing capacity and advanced process nodes.
Intel has delivered mixed results recently, beating consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters and missing once. That track record suggests execution has improved, but expectations remain cautious. For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts project a loss of $0.14 per share, a significant improvement compared with the $0.85 loss reported in fiscal 2024. Looking further ahead, EPS is expected to rebound to $0.17 in fiscal 2026, reflecting optimism around cost discipline, product launches, and foundry traction.
Revenue Outlook and Guidance to Watch
Revenue guidance will be a major focus of the Intel Q4 2025 earnings call. In its previous report, Intel posted revenue of $13.7 billion, beating expectations of $13.1 billion. For the fourth quarter, management guided revenue in a range of $12.8 billion to $13.8 billion, signaling relative stability despite macro uncertainty.
Investors will want to see strength across Intel’s core segments, particularly Client Computing and Data Center and AI. Any updates on foundry services, including customer wins or capacity utilization, could also influence sentiment. Clear commentary on margins will matter as well, given Intel’s heavy capital expenditures and ongoing restructuring efforts.
Intel Stock Performance vs the Broader Market
Intel Q4 2025 earnings arrive after a strong run for the stock. Over the past 52 weeks, shares of Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) are up roughly 88%, far outperforming the S&P 500 Index ($SPX), which gained about 16.8% over the same period. Intel has also beaten the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLK), which returned around 24%.
This outperformance raises the bar for upcoming results. Much of the recent rally reflects expectations of a turnaround rather than current profitability. As a result, even solid results could trigger volatility if guidance fails to justify the stock’s rapid ascent.
Key Takeaways From the Last Earnings Report
In the prior quarter, Intel shares jumped more than 3% following better-than-expected results. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.23, crushing consensus estimates of $0.01, while revenue topped forecasts. That surprise demonstrated Intel’s ability to manage costs and execute amid a challenging environment.
For Intel Q4 2025 earnings, investors will be looking for confirmation that this wasn’t a one-off. Consistency in execution, paired with realistic but confident guidance, could help support current valuation levels.
Analyst Ratings and Price Targets
Despite Intel’s recent rally, analyst sentiment remains cautious. The stock carries a consensus “Hold” rating. Among 42 analysts covering Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), only a small minority recommend buying the stock, while the majority advise holding, and several suggest selling.
Intel currently trades above its average price target of $36.74, which implies limited near-term upside based on consensus views. However, the Street-high price target of $52 suggests potential upside of nearly 40% if Intel can exceed expectations and deliver on its long-term strategy.
Final Thoughts on Intel Q4 2025 Earnings
Intel Q4 2025 earnings will be less about headline EPS and more about direction. Investors want clarity on revenue stability, margin trends, and progress in AI and foundry initiatives. After a powerful rally, expectations are higher, and volatility is likely.
For long-term investors, this report could help determine whether Intel’s recovery story remains intact—or whether patience will still be required as the company navigates a highly competitive semiconductor landscape.
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