PepsiCo Bets on AI to Spark a Turnaround

PepsiCo

PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) is turning to cutting-edge innovation to revive its sluggish stock performance. After several years of underwhelming returns, the global beverage and snacks giant has launched a sweeping AI supply chain transformation anchored by a high-profile partnership with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Siemens (OTCMKTS:SIEGY). Unveiled at CES 2026, this multi-year collaboration is designed to modernize PepsiCo’s manufacturing plants and supply chain on a global scale.

At the heart of the initiative is Siemens’ new Digital Twin Composer, built on Nvidia’s Omniverse platform. The technology creates highly detailed 3D replicas of factory machines, conveyor routes, pallet movements, and even employee workflows. These digital twins allow PepsiCo to experiment with plant layouts, optimize efficiency, and identify problems before they occur—all without disrupting real-world operations.

By combining 2D and 3D data with live factory performance metrics, PepsiCo can use AI to detect 90% of potential bottlenecks ahead of time, shorten design cycles, and uncover new production capacity that traditionally goes unnoticed.

Early Results Show Strong Momentum

Early pilot programs have been promising. PepsiCo reports a 20% improvement in throughput, near-perfect design accuracy, and 10%–15% reductions in capital spending thanks to virtual modeling. The company showcased these results during the CES 2026 opening keynote, signalling that digital transformation is now central to PepsiCo’s long-term strategy.

For a blue-chip name that has struggled to impress investors lately, this AI supply chain transformation could be the turning point shareholders have been waiting for.


About PepsiCo Stock

Headquartered in New York, PepsiCo is one of the world’s most dominant consumer-goods companies. Its products are consumed over one billion times per day across more than 200 countries. In 2024 alone, PepsiCo generated close to $92 billion in net revenue from iconic brands such as Pepsi, Gatorade, Mountain Dew, Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos, and Quaker.

Many of these brands each generate over $1 billion annually, giving PepsiCo one of the strongest and most diversified consumer portfolios on the market. The company’s valuation currently sits around $187.34 billion.

Yet despite its global scale and unmatched brand recognition, PepsiCo’s share performance has lagged. Pressures from inflation, rising costs, and shifting consumer preferences toward healthier options have weighed heavily on both beverage and snack segments. In 2025, PEP shares ended the year at $143.52, down 0.44%, while the broader market pushed higher.

Still, PepsiCo continues to reward long-term investors. On Jan. 6, the company issued a quarterly dividend of $1.4225 per share—its 53rd consecutive year of dividend growth. With an annualized payout of roughly $5.60 per share, the stock yields a compelling 3.96%.


PepsiCo’s Q3 2025 Earnings Recap

In early October, PepsiCo reported a stronger-than-expected third quarter. Net revenue rose 2.6% year over year to $23.94 billion, beating Wall Street estimates. Even after adjusting for divestitures, acquisitions, and currency fluctuations, organic revenue still increased 1.3%.

However, shifting consumer habits continue to present challenges. Global food and beverage volumes fell 1%, and net income slipped to $2.6 billion from $2.93 billion a year earlier. On an adjusted basis, earnings reached $2.29 per share—slightly above Wall Street’s $2.27 forecast.

CEO Ramon Laguarta emphasized that the company’s international strength, improving North American beverage momentum, and its reshaped product portfolio helped support growth. PepsiCo expects low-single-digit organic revenue gains for 2025 and plans to return $8.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.


What Does Wall Street Think?

Wall Street remains cautiously optimistic about PepsiCo’s future. The stock holds a “Moderate Buy” consensus among 20 analysts, with seven rating it a “Strong Buy.” The average price target sits at $158.53—suggesting roughly 13.75% upside—while the most bullish target of $172 implies a potential 23.4% rally.

With its AI supply chain transformation accelerating and operational efficiencies improving, many analysts believe this blue-chip giant could finally regain its momentum. While PepsiCo may not be a flashy growth story, Wall Street sees renewed potential as the company modernizes its operations and embraces advanced technologies.

Featured Image: Unsplash

Please See Disclaimer